Machine vision market expecting 6.4% CAGR to 2028

Thursday, 01 February, 2024

Machine vision market expecting 6.4% CAGR to 2028

After a slow year for the global machine vision market in 2023, it is expected to return to growth in 2024, according to market intelligence specialist Interact Analysis. While global automation markets have grown, 2023 was a challenging year for machine vision vendors and total revenues declined from US$6.5 billion in 2022 to US$6.3 billion last year. In the wake of this contraction, the market is forecast to record single-digit growth of around 1.4% in 2024.

While price pressures will persist for machine vision vendors in the first half of 2024, order books are expected to start refilling in the second half of the year. The machine vision market is anticipated to recover from 2025 onwards, in line with Interact Analysis’s predictions for manufacturing and machinery production growth. Between 2022 and 2028, the machine vision market will grow by an estimated CAGR of 6.4%, with revenues increasing from US$6.5 billion to US$9.3 billion over the forecast period. The Asia–Pacific (APAC) region will be a big driver of this growth.

Looking at the market for machine vision by application, inspection is dominant, with this segment representing over 40% of use cases in 2022. By 2028, inspection will be worth around US$3.9 billion. Resulting from the strong outlook for mobile robots, autonomous driving is forecast to acheive the largest CAGR between 2022 and 2028 (20.8%), followed by bin-picking (19.2%), which will benefit from deployment with industrial robots across a wide range of manufacturing industries.

Applications for the machine vision market. ©Interact Analysis.

Applications for the machine vision market. ©Interact Analysis. For a larger image click here.

“The top three machine vision vendors — Keyence, Cognex and Teledyne — accounted for nearly one-third of global revenues in 2023,” said Jonathan Sparkes, Research Analyst at Interact Analysis.” Due to the stronger performance of end customers in APAC, vendors in that region were expected to have had a better year than those with less exposure in 2023. In general, APAC suppliers — particularly those in China — took share from those who conduct more of their business in other global regions.

“Despite a plethora of mergers and acquisitions in recent years, the machine vision market is still considered fragmented. New vendors continue to enter the market, with over 200 active worldwide. We are seeing increasing activity from new vendors in China in particular, as well as in those territories where machine vision products are increasingly being used for autonomous driving and bin-picking,” he added.

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